It is often said we can’t predict the weather. This may be true but it is possible to predict the seasons. The focus of this article was to determine if there is a predictable seasonality to the U.S. economy. If so, can the seasonality of an economy predict a recession? Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Hedgefund said that the two most import indicators of an economy are growth and inflation. In this article I explain the model I built upon this theory. To read about it visit this link and view my article on Medium. To see where the magic happens visit my Colab Notebook link.

Github link